Case Studies / Patient journey mapping for orphan drug: identifying un…
Medical Affairs Evidence Generation Rare Disease

Patient journey mapping for orphan drug: identifying undiagnosed rare disease patients in fragmented diagnostic systems

Challenge
An estimated 60–70% of patients with a rare condition remained undiagnosed — not because diagnosis was impossible, but because no systematic mapping of the diagnostic pathway existed to identify where patients were being lost.
Approach
Conducted structured qualitative research with specialists and GPs, mapped the complete diagnostic journey with quantified drop-off points, and designed a targeted patient-finding algorithm for deployment.
Result
Patient-finding algorithm deployed; previously unidentified patients located across fragmented diagnostic settings.
The challenge

Undiagnosed patients cannot be treated — but finding them requires understanding exactly where the system fails

For a rare condition with an available orphan treatment, the primary barrier to market impact was not prescriber awareness or reimbursement access — it was undiagnosed patients. Epidemiological models suggested that the diagnosed population represented only 30–40% of the total disease burden. The majority were sitting in general practices, community neurology clinics, and district hospitals without a diagnosis.

The standard approach to this problem — raising specialist awareness — was insufficient because specialists were not seeing the undiagnosed patients. Those patients were being managed by non-specialists who did not recognise the condition, or were not even reaching the healthcare system due to the non-specific nature of early symptoms.

To find undiagnosed patients systematically, the brand needed to understand exactly where on the diagnostic pathway patients were dropping out — and design targeted interventions at those specific points.

In rare disease, undiagnosed patients are invisible to both the healthcare system and the brand. Making them visible requires understanding the journey they are supposed to take — and documenting every point where it breaks down.

Our approach

What we did

1
Qualitative research design
Conducted 42 semi-structured interviews with neurologists, GPs, paediatricians, and diagnostic laboratory staff across 4 markets. Designed to map the real patient pathway — not the theoretical one.
2
Patient journey mapping
Built a detailed patient journey map with quantified transition rates between pathway stages — from symptom onset through first presentation, specialist referral, diagnostic workup, and confirmed diagnosis. Identified key drop-off points with estimated patient loss at each stage.
3
Bottleneck analysis
Quantified the patient loss at each bottleneck: largest drops identified at GP-to-neurologist referral (40% of patients not referred) and at neurologist-to-specialist-centre referral (32% of referred patients not progressing to confirmatory testing).
4
Patient-finding algorithm design
Based on the bottleneck analysis, designed a structured patient-finding algorithm: a clinical prompt tool for GPs targeting the specific symptom combinations most predictive of the condition, and a referral escalation protocol for community neurologists.
5
Deployment and piloting
Piloted the patient-finding algorithm in 3 pilot regions across 2 markets. Measured referral rates before and after deployment. Conducted training sessions for target GP groups.
Result

Measurable impact

The patient-finding algorithm identified previously undiagnosed patients in all 3 pilot regions within 6 months of deployment. In one market, the pilot region showed a 45% increase in specialist referrals for suspected rare disease patients over the 6-month period. The algorithm was adopted by the affiliate Medical Affairs teams as a structured component of their medical education programme for primary care physicians. The patient journey map was also used as supporting evidence in two HTA submissions demonstrating unmet need.

Multi-stakeholder
qualitative research
Interviews across specialists, GPs, and diagnostic staff
Diagnostic pathway
bottlenecks mapped
Drop-off points identified and quantified at each stage
Specialist referrals
increased
Following algorithm deployment in pilot region
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Evidence Scanner · Research module
// Query: ribociclib OS data MONALEESA 2023–24
search("ribociclib overall survival", {
  years: [2023, 2024],
  output: "structured_table"
})
// 847 records → 23 relevant
Processing 847 records...
Evidence Summary
MONALEESA-2 updated OS (NEJM 2023): median OS 63.9 mo vs 51.4 mo (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.63–0.93). Benefit maintained across all pre-specified subgroups...